By Randall Schweller
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Extra resources for Deadly Imbalances
However, we always took the harder course, joined with the less strong Powers, made a combination among them, and thus defeated and frustrated the Continental military tyrant, whoever he was, whatever nation he led. 1 Percentage Distribution of the COW Index Among the Major Powers and the Polarity of the International System, 1890-1980. 4 – – * ¡ Polar Power source: “Correlates of War Capability Data Set Printout,” Inter–University Consortium for Political and Social Research at the University of Michigan, July 1990.
Note 53: John Maynard Keynes, The Economic Consequences of the Peace (London: Macmillan, 1919), p. 102. Note 54: Martin Gilbert and Richard Gott, The Appeasers (London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson, 1963), p. 21. Note 55: The list of British appeasers includes, among others, Lloyd George, Marquess of Londonderry, Lord Lothian, T. Philip Conwell–Evans, Lord and Lady Astor, Neville Chamberlain, Stanley Baldwin, Arnold Wilson, Thomas Moore, and Sir Horace Wilson. Note 56: J. L. , p. 49. Note 57: This discussion is drawn from Wolfers, Britain and France Between Two Wars, chap.
Indeed, the behavior of LGPs plays an important role in determining the stability of tripolar systems—a subject to which we now turn. Empirically, LGPs have had the greatest effect on the stability of tripolar and, to a lesser extent, quadrapolar systems. By contrast they have had only a moderate effect on the stability of unipolar systems, and hardly any effect on the stability of multipolar (5 or more poles) and bipolar systems. A look at the distribution of capabilities within the Major–Power subset for the past 100 years shows why this proposition has held and will continue to do so.