The Worlds of Herman Kahn: The Intuitive Science of - download pdf or read online

By Sharon Ghamari-Tabrizi

Herman Kahn was once the single nuclear strategist in the United States who may need made a residing as a standup comic. certainly, galumphing round levels around the kingdom, joking his manner via one ugly thermonuclear state of affairs after one other, he got here frighteningly shut. In telling the tale of Herman Kahn, whose 1960 booklet On Thermonuclear conflict catapulted him into superstar, Sharon Ghamari-Tabrizi captures an period that continues to be a great deal with us--a time whose innocence, grotesque nuclear humor, and outrageous yet lethal severe visions of annihilation have their echoes within the "known unknowns and unknown unknowns" that advisor policymakers in our personal embattled world.

Portraying a lifestyles that mixed points of Lenny Bruce, Hitchcock, and Kubrick, Ghamari-Tabrizi offers no longer one Herman Kahn, yet many--one who spoke the suffocatingly dry argot of the nuclear specialists, one other whose buffoonery conveyed the inventive absurdity of all of it, and numerous others who capered ahead of the general public, ambiguous, baffling, continuously open to interpretation. This, then, is a narrative of 1 completely unusual and appealing guy in addition to a cultural historical past of our second. In Herman Kahn's global is a serious lesson approximately how chilly struggle analysts realized to fill within the ciphers of strategic uncertainty, and hence how we as a state realized to reside with the especially creative caliber of process, within which uncertainty generates extravagant chance scenarios.

Revealing the metaphysical at the back of the dryly planned, it seems that useful dialogue of nuclear approach, this booklet depicts the construction of a global the place shrewdpermanent males model whatever out of Nothing--and establishes Herman Kahn as our first virtuoso of the unknown unknowns.

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An eccentric genius. A devil. A bunko artist. It was too much for RAND How Many Kahns Can There Be? 37 management. Just as he was being saluted as the ultimate RAND man, its president considered him an inconvenient agitator for civil defense, not a good-will ambassador. Whether he was sacked or he resigned, in 1961 Kahn left California to found his own research organization in New York, the Hudson Institute. ” A writer for the Village Voice was bowled over by Kahn’s performance. “Listening to him, it was difficult to understand why [he] has been wasting his time on realpolitikal research .

83 One expects him to murmur “But seriously folks . ” to close the bit, it so much mimics a nightclub spiel. Intensely appealing and disturbing in equal measure, Herman Kahn had to be seen and heard if one hoped to fathom his significance and his celebrity in 1961. Chapter 2 THE COLD WAR AVANT-GARDE AT RAND When I now think about RAND, I think about a group of people who were very peculiar in the sense that they lived in a world in which you could talk about future in the plural—there’d be “futures” you could choose from.

This explained his social location, the gusts and slipstream that yanked and beckoned and smoothed his way. Having determined that he was an unthreatening, pleasant man, journalists dreamed up various droll phrases to describe his appearance. At close to six feet tall and well over three hundred pounds, Kahn was reassuring and somehow comic. ” And only an Englishman could drawl archly, “What is he like? If you imagined a Mr. Pickwick who was born in Tel Aviv and gone to the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, that would be near enough .

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